Predicting what will happen to the global economy and markets over the next 12 months is hard enough at the best of times, but with Trump's election victory on 5 November that job has become even more difficult.As Deutsche Bank's head of global economics and thematics Jim Reid put it, the outlook is no longer 'business as usual' which opens up a much wider range of potential outcomes for the globa

It's ingrained in us as investors that the best way to get superior, risk-adjusted long-term returns is to distance ourselves from the crowd and seek out value.That approach has always needed courage and patience, and 2024 has proved to be a particularly fierce test of this discipline for the simple reason that what worked last year worked well again this year.It did so because the consensus macro

US stock and bond prices moved higher on 25 November after president-elect Donald Trump revealed his pick for Treasury secretary was hedge fund manager Scott Bessent.The reaction was partly relief that Trump opted for a market savvy individual and a 'safe pair of hands' rather than someone with little capital markets experience to implement his economic agenda.Secondly, Bessent is seen as pragmati

Stock prices in London were in the green at midday on Monday, as budget fears were shaken off ahead of the US presidential election on Tuesday and the Bank of England interest rate decision on Thursday.The FTSE 100 index was up 52.82 points, 0.7%, at 8,229.97. The FTSE 250 was up 78.24 points, 0.4%, at 20,557.98, and the AIM All-Share was up 0.01 points, flat, at 739.01.The Cboe UK 100 was up 0.6%

As it stands, there are only two months left of 2024 and yet, for investors, the next few weeks could be some of the most consequential of the year.We provide a snapshot of the Budget and the market response to it in our News section this week but you can expect further analysis of the fall-out on our website and in next week's issue too.Also check our site for coverage of the latest Magnificent S

The FTSE 100 saw mixed fortunes on Friday, with stronger-than-expected Chinese economic data boosting miners, though housebuilders suffered on stamp duty speculation.The FTSE 100 index closed down 26.88 points, or 0.3%, at 8,358.25. The FTSE 250 ended up 48.66 points, or 0.2%, at 21,149.58, and the AIM All-Share lost 1.70 points, 0.2%, at 740.69.For the week, the FTSE 100 added 1.3%, the FTSE 250

London's blue chip index was in the green while its European peers were in the red, following better-than-expected consumer price index inflation data, with on-year CPI falling below the 2% target in September.The FTSE 100 index was up 46.02 points, or 0.6%, at 8,295.30. The FTSE 250 was up 95.54 points, or 0.5%, at 20,889.98, and the AIM All-Share was up 1.34 points, or 0.2%, at 735.20.The Cboe U

Stock prices in London were in the green on Wednesday morning after consumer price index inflation in the UK slowed below the 2% target in September, while blue-chip housebuilders rose after data showed that asking rents in the UK hit a new record high.The FTSE 100 index opened up 55.09 points, or 0.7, at 8,304.57. The FTSE 250 was up 63.24 points, or 0.3%, at 20,857.68, and the AIM All-Share was

Stocks in Europe were in the red on Tuesday midday, with FTSE 100 housebuilder Vistry shares diving amid a profit warning, while China's stimulus was perceived as too soft.The FTSE 100 index was down 97.08 points, 1.2%, at 8,206.54. The FTSE 250 was down 198.23 points, 1.0%, at 20,654.98, and the AIM All-Share was down 3.81 points, 0.5%, at 735.00.The Cboe UK 100 was down 1.1% at 821.97, the Cboe

Stock prices in London suffered at midday on Monday, while the pound rose against the dollar as traders await central bank decisions from the US, the Bank of England and Japan this week.The FTSE 100 index was down 12.25 points, or 0.2%, at 8,260.84. The FTSE 250 was down 11.24 points, or 0.1%, at 20,884.28, and the AIM All-Share was down 1.70 points, or 0.2%, at 743.53.The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.1

Recent years have been dire for shareholders in long-duration assets, with rising interest rates driving a de-rating of high-yielding alternatives trusts including infrastructure and real estate-focused funds to deep NAV (net asset value) discounts.But there is now potential for significant re-ratings across this space as central bank rates decline and the competition from cash and government bond

If you've been tuned out of the political narrative over the summer, you might not have heard the government is facing a £22 billion black hole in its finances and a 'painful' Budget lies ahead. Then again, if you've got a smart phone, you're probably up to speed.There is plenty of speculation flying around about the taxes Labour are going to hike, especially after Keir Starmer said the heaviest

The starting gun has sounded for the second-quarter US earnings season but expect the excitement level to climb next week when big tech firms start reporting, with Microsoft (MSFT:NASDAQ) among the first out of the gate on 23 July.These results will be crucial as there's a great deal riding on whether the AI (artificial intelligence) runners, which have driven most of the gains for US markets this

Stocks in Europe were mostly lower on Wednesday morning, ahead of a eurozone consumer price inflation reading and the King's Speech.The FTSE 100 index opened down 10.32 points, or 0.1%, at 8,155.17. The FTSE 250 was down 55.59 points, or 0.3%, at 21,159.81, and the AIM All-Share was up 0.71 points, or 0.1%, at 787.79.The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.2% at 813.97, the Cboe UK 250 was down 0.1% at 18,451.

Stock prices in Europe were in the red midday Monday, after markets reacted relatively calmly to the attempted assassination of Donald Trump.The FTSE 100 index in London was dragged down by Burberry, after it announced a profit warning.The FTSE 100 index was down 15.32 points, 0.2%, at 8,237.59. The FTSE 250 was down 11.00 points, 0.1%, at 21,191.89, and the AIM All-Share was down 0.72 of a point,

European stocks opened lower on Monday morning, after Donald Trump was hit in the ear in an attempted assassination attempt on Saturday in Pennsylvania.The FTSE 100 index opened down 40.49 points, 0.5%, at 8,212.42. The FTSE 250 was down 88.87 points, 0.4%, at 21,114.02, and the AIM All-Share was down 1.71 points, 0.2%, at 784.46.The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.5% at 819.66, the Cboe UK 250 was down 0.

The Conservatives fired the starting gun in the election campaign on personal tax, pledging to uprate the personal allowance for pensioners using a 'quadruple lock'. This was quickly followed with confirmation that personal tax thresholds and allowances for working people would remain frozen until 2028. Labour has also hinted it would not end the freeze on allowances, nor would it raise tax rates.

Stock prices in London were mostly higher at midday on Tuesday but the FTSE 100 declined ahead of a slew of US data in the afternoon, after a public holiday in both the US and the UK.The FTSE 100 index was down 16.64 points, or 0.2%, at 8,301.04. The FTSE 250 was up 83.97 points, or 0.4%, at 20,855.45, and the AIM All-Share was up 1.17 points, or 0.1%, at 811.19.The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.3% at 82

Chip stocks are coming under pressure from investors made nervous by hints of weakening demand during the first half of 2024. During the past week or so there have been warnings from industry bellwethers from Europe and the Far East, dampening enthusiasm just as earnings season gets going in earnest.On 22 April Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM:NYSE), or simply TSMC, the world?s bigg

Q1 revenue misses by ?100 millionChip kit firm?s stock falls more than 4%Underlying market remains supportiveChip stocks have been gunning it this year thanks to booming demand for the most advanced AI (artificial intelligence) technology. The US SOX semiconductor index, which measures the world?s meaningful chips stocks, has rallied 15% since the start of January, so ASML?s (ASML:AMS) revenue mis