ANALYSTS’ VIEWS
Oli Creasey, property analyst at Quilter Cheviot said: ‘Persimmon’s results this morning are encouraging, particularly sales volumes, which were up 5% year-on-year and ahead of market expectations. Persimmon is now guiding to full year completions of 10,500, the top end of management’s prior guidance.
‘The overall sales rate (sales per outlet per week) of 0.71 times is also increased 5%. However, it does seem to be driven by increased bulk sales of over 500 units which is four times as many as the first half of 2023, while the private sales rate of 0.59 times is a little disappointing given Taylor Wimpey’s (TW.) equivalent figure last week was 0.69 times.
‘These results are encouraging, particularly growing volumes and revenues, but it is notable that it has not yet translated into increased profits. Operating margins are still well below long-term averages, even if there is a recovery in the second half as management expects, and it will be a long road back to the sort of margins experienced pre-2022.’
AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould said: ‘News leading housebuilder Persimmon delivered completions at the top end of its previous guidance will be music to the ears of a new Labour government which has prioritised increasing the supply of new homes.
‘But, while Persimmon did specifically reference recently loosened planning laws alongside its first half results, the big driver is ultimately signs of improved demand – with the Bank of England’s first-rate cut representing a significant moment.
‘The housebuilding sector is heavily reliant on the availability of affordable mortgages, and, from that point of view, the trajectory of borrowing rates is heading in the right direction.’
DISCLAIMER: Financial services company AJ Bell referenced in this article owns Shares magazine. The author of this article (Sabuhi Gard) and the editor (James Crux) own shares in AJ Bell.