Stocks in London held firm at the close on Monday, while the euro ebbed amid a slew of weak purchasing managers’ index prints.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 29.72 points, or 0.4%, at 8,259.71. The FTSE 250 ended up 13.28 points, or 0.1%, at 20,8451.82, but the AIM All-Share closed down 1.30 points, 0.2%, at 744.32.
The Cboe UK 100 ended up 0.2% at 825.65, the Cboe UK 250 down slightly at 18,356.82, and the Cboe Small Companies ended up 0.3% at 16,827.67.
In European equities on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris up 0.1%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended up 0.6%.
In London, data showed UK private sector remained in growth territory this month, though progress did slow across the board.
The flash UK composite purchasing managers’ index declined to 52.9 points in September, from 53.8 in August. The latest reading was a two-month low, but remained above the 50 point threshold which separates growth from decline.
The composite PMI is calculated using manufacturing and service sector readings.
The flash manufacturing PMI fell to 51.5 points in September, from August’s final reading of 52.5. The services PMI slipped to 52.8 from 53.7. The latest readings represented a three-month low for manufacturing and a two-month low for services.
‘UK private sector firms indicated a sustained upturn in business activity during September, marking 11 months of continuous expansion. However, output growth slowdowns in both manufacturing and services meant that the overall speed of recovery moderated for the first time since June,’ survey publisher S&P Global said.
Pantheon Macroeconomics analyst Rob Wood said businesses are currently waiting ‘to see the measures in the Autumn Budget’.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver said budget, the first from the UK’s new Labour government, on October 30. It will come with a full fiscal statement from the Office of Budget Responsibility.
Going forward, Wood said: ‘Strong new orders growth and business optimism suggest the PMI will bounce back once Budget uncertainty has passed.’
Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the budget will be one with ‘real ambition, a budget to fix the foundations, a budget to deliver the change that we promised, a budget to rebuild Britain.’
Speaking to the Labour party conference in Liverpool Reeves pledged there will be no ‘return to austerity’.
‘Yes, we must deal with the Tory legacy and that means tough decisions but I won’t let that dim our ambition for Britain,’ she said.
Over in Europe, the picture was far gloomier.
Growth in the eurozone’s private sector economy declined in September, PMI survey results showed, while the manufacturing sector continued to limp.
The latest Hamburg Commercial Bank flash purchasing managers’ index faded to 48.9 points in September from August’s final figure of 51.0.
The flash manufacturing PMI fell to a nine-month low of 44.8 points in September from 45.8 in August. The services PMI hit a seven-month low of 50.5 points, down from August’s 52.9, though it remained in growth territory.
‘The reduction in overall business activity was driven by a deepening downturn in the eurozone manufacturing sector, where production decreased for the eighteenth month running and at the fastest pace in the year-to-date. Although services business activity continued to rise, the latest expansion was only marginal and the weakest since February,’ survey publisher S&P Global said.
‘As the Olympic flame was extinguished, so was eurozone optimism,’ ING summarised.
‘The August uptick in the PMI was met by a sharp decline in September. This further fuels growth concerns in the bloc as inflation worries fade.’
Pepperstone analyst Michael Brown said Monday’s data put the focus on ECB interest rate expectations.
‘This morning’s rather disastrous eurozone PMI figures suggest that the market continues to under-price the chances of back-to-back ECB cuts.’
The figures pressured the euro while the pound made ground.
The pound was quoted at $1.3357 at the London equities close on Monday, up compared to $1.3307 at the close on Friday. The euro stood at $1.1135 against $1.1164.
Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JP¥143.77, down a touch from JP¥143.85 late Friday.
Stocks in New York were higher at the London equities close, with the DJIA up 0.1%, and the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.3%.
Figures painted a mixed picture of the US economy with the services sector continuing to expand while the manufacturing sector’s slump continued.
The S&P Global US flash composite purchasing managers’ index came in at 54.4 points in September, down slightly from 54.6 in August. Remaining above the 50-point mark that separates expansion from contraction, it suggests growth remained fairly robust month to month.
The composite measures encompasses manufacturing and services, but only the latter saw growth.
The flash services PMI eased slightly to 55.4 from 55.7, coming in above FXStreet-cited market consensus of a 55.2 reading.
Meanwhile, the flash manufacturing reading slumped to a 15-month low of 47.0 from 47.9, indicating a worsening downturn. It was lower than the market consensus of 48.5.
On London’s FTSE 100, Kingfisher rose 1.6%. UBS raised the stock to ’neutral’ from ’sell’.
Also on Monday, the London-based DIY retailer, which owns B&Q, Castorama, and Screwfix, announced the start of a £75 million share buyback, to be completed by November 22.
This is the fourth tranche of Kingfisher’s £300 million buyback announced in September 2023.
Marks & Spencer climbed 1.8% as UBS started coverage with a ’buy’ rating but B&M fell 2.6% as the same broker said ’sell’.
Also on the rise was online property portal Rightmove after Australia’s REA made another attempt to buy the firm.
The new bid values Rightmove’s equity at £6.1 billion. The offer comprises 341 pence in cash and 0.0422 of a new REA share. Based on REA’s closing price on Friday, the bid values each Rightmove share at 770 pence.
But Rightmove’s shares rose by only 0.8%, sitting well below the bid price.
AJ Bell’s Russ Mould felt the market reaction tells ‘you everything you need to know’.
‘There is a slim chance the deal will happen at the current price given the shares are trading...below REA‘s bid,’ he pointed out.
Mould said if you want to own the market leader, ‘you must pay a premium price’, adding the higher bid still doesn’t look ‘generous’ enough.
‘Shareholders are more likely to sit up and show interest if the bid starts with an eight, not a seven – and so the latest bid of 770p is a step in the right direction but unlikely to be enough,’ he remarked.
Burberry fell 0.9% as Bank of America reiterated ’underperform’ and cut its share price target to 475 pence from 700p.
BofA said the luxury consumer is ‘all shopped out’, and expects ‘muted’ sector revenue growth will now likely continue into the second half of 2024 and 2025, leading to margin pressure, and no earnings before interest and tax growth.
The recent deterioration has been the Chinese consumer, the broker explained, which was the only driver of revenue growth in the first half of the year.
Elsewhere on the London Stock Exchange, Alphawave IP dropped 14%.
The London-based designer of high-speed connectivity solutions now expects 2024 revenue of between $310 million and $330 million compared with guidance of $345 million to $365 million given in March.
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation are seen of $50 million, down from $70 million previously guided.
Alphawave said the changes to guidance reflect the impact on first half results of the merger of two large artificial intelligence customers in Korea.
In the first six months of 2024, pretax loss ballooned to $49.9 million from $6.6 million a year prior. Revenue more than halved to $91.0 million from $187.2 million.
Brent oil was quoted at $73.80 a barrel at the London equities close on Monday, down from $74.43 late Friday.
Gold was quoted at $2,630.09 an ounce at the London equities close on Friday, against $2,622.00 at the close on Thursday.
Tuesday’s UK corporate calendar sees full-year results from engineering fir, Smiths Group and half-year numbers from car and home insurer Direct Line.
The global economic calendar has an interest rate decision in Australia, the German ifo business climate report and US consumer confidence data.
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
